Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI)
NYSE: ARI · Real-Time Price · USD
10.15
+0.18 (1.81%)
Dec 5, 2025, 4:00 PM EST - Market closed
ARI Stock Forecast
Stock Price Forecast
The 3 analysts with 12-month price forecasts for ARI stock have an average target of 10.83, with a low estimate of 10.5 and a high estimate of 11. The average target predicts an increase of 6.70% from the current stock price of 10.15.
Analyst Consensus: Buy
* Price targets were last updated on Nov 3, 2025.
Analyst Ratings
The average analyst rating for ARI stock from 4 stock analysts is "Buy". This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to outperform the market over the next twelve months.
Recommendation Trends
| Rating | Jul '25 | Aug '25 | Sep '25 | Oct '25 | Nov '25 | Dec '25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Buy | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Hold | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Sell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strong Sell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Latest Forecasts
| Analyst | Firm | Rating | Rating | Action | Price Target | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | JP Morgan | Buy Maintains $11 → $11 | Buy | Maintains | $11 → $11 | +8.37% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| JP Morgan | JP Morgan | Hold → Buy Upgrades $10 → $11 | Hold → Buy | Upgrades | $10 → $11 | +3.45% | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Buy Maintains $11 → $11 | Buy | Maintains | $11 → $11 | +8.37% | Oct 9, 2025 |
| UBS | UBS | Hold Maintains $10 → $11 | Hold | Maintains | $10 → $11 | +3.45% | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Buy Maintains $11 → $11 | Buy | Maintains | $11 → $11 | +5.91% | Jul 10, 2025 |
Financial Forecast
Revenue This Year
186.21M
from 147.89M
Increased by 25.91%
Revenue Next Year
213.45M
from 186.21M
Increased by 14.63%
EPS This Year
0.90
from -0.97
EPS Next Year
0.95
from 0.90
Increased by 4.87%
Revenue Forecast
| Revenue | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | 210.4M | 268.8M | |
| Avg | 186.2M | 213.5M | |
| Low | 169.5M | 178.4M |
Revenue Growth
| Revenue Growth | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | 42.3% | 44.4% | |
| Avg | 25.9% | 14.6% | |
| Low | 14.6% | -4.2% |
EPS Forecast
| EPS | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | 1.08 | 1.13 | |
| Avg | 0.90 | 0.95 | |
| Low | 0.58 | 0.54 |
EPS Growth
| EPS Growth | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | - | 25.6% | |
| Avg | - | 4.9% | |
| Low | - | -40.3% |
Sources: Price targets and analyst ratings provided by Benzinga. Revenue and EPS forecast data provided by Finnhub. The data is sourced from Wall Street analysts. Data disclaimer.