Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI)
NYSE: ARI · Real-Time Price · USD
10.55
-0.12 (-1.12%)
At close: Mar 3, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
10.57
+0.02 (0.19%)
After-hours: Mar 3, 2026, 7:00 PM EST

ARI Stock Forecast

Stock Price Forecast

The 3 analysts with 12-month price forecasts for ARI stock have an average target of 11, with a low estimate of 10.5 and a high estimate of 11.5. The average target predicts an increase of 4.27% from the current stock price of 10.55.

Analyst Consensus: Buy
Target Low Average Median High
Price $10.5 $11 $11 $11.5
Change -0.47% +4.27% +4.27% +9.00%

Analyst Ratings

The average analyst rating for ARI stock from 4 stock analysts is "Buy". This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to outperform the market over the next twelve months.

Recommendation Trends

Rating Sep '25Oct '25Nov '25Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26
Strong Buy 000000
Buy 122222
Hold 422222
Sell 000000
Strong Sell 000000
Total 544444

Latest Forecasts

Analyst Firm Rating Rating Action Price Target Upside Date
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
Buy
Maintains
$11$12
Buy Maintains $11$12 +9.00% Feb 12, 2026
JP Morgan
JP Morgan
Buy
Maintains
$11$11
Buy Maintains $11$11 +4.27% Nov 3, 2025
JP Morgan
JP Morgan
Buy
Upgrades
$10$11
Buy Upgrades $10$11 -0.47% Oct 20, 2025
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
Buy
Maintains
$11$11
Buy Maintains $11$11 +4.27% Oct 9, 2025
UBS
UBS
Hold
Maintains
$10$11
Hold Maintains $10$11 -0.47% Jul 15, 2025
More Analyst Ratings

Financial Forecast

Revenue This Year
212.35M
from 268.36M
Decreased by -20.87%
Revenue Next Year
231.29M
from 212.35M
Increased by 8.92%
EPS This Year
0.98
from 0.81
Increased by 21.57%
EPS Next Year
1.19
from 0.98
Increased by 21.65%
Fiscal Year FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027
Period Ending Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2026 Dec 31, 2027
Revenue
319.28M321.26M285.16M147.89M268.36M212.35M231.29M
Revenue Growth
180.82%0.62%-11.24%-48.14%81.46%-20.87%8.92%
EPS
1.461.680.29-0.970.810.981.19
EPS Growth
15,251.49%15.33%-82.76%--21.57%21.65%
Forward PE
-----10.778.85
No. Analysts -----62
Historical EPS numbers are GAAP, while forecasted numbers may be non-GAAP.

Revenue Forecast

Revenue 20262027
High 283.5M 240.5M
Avg 212.4M 231.3M
Low 178.4M 224.4M

Revenue Growth

Revenue Growth 20262027
High
5.6%
13.2%
Avg
-20.9%
8.9%
Low
-33.5%
5.7%

EPS Forecast

EPS 20262027
High 1.13 1.24
Avg 0.98 1.19
Low 0.68 1.16

EPS Growth

EPS Growth 20262027
High
40.7%
26.5%
Avg
21.6%
21.6%
Low
-16.1%
18.0%
Sources: Price targets and analyst ratings provided by Benzinga. Revenue and EPS forecast data provided by Finnhub. The data is sourced from Wall Street analysts. Data disclaimer.